Recently I was asked the question on LinkedIn: “Where will DevOps be in 5 years’ time?” Let’s explore the topic in more detail in this post.
The adoption of Agile
Whenever I hear this question the first thing I think about is the adoption of Agile software development. The Agile Manifesto was published in 2001, and the term DevOps was coined 8 years later in 2009. If we look at Google Trends as a proxy for adoption we can see that interest in DevOps is rising rapidly but is still well behind Agile.
But the adoption of Agile (even after nearly 20 years) is still unevenly distributed. The 2020 State of Agile report shows that 84% of organisations still have a long way to go with their Agile adoption.
Where do I think DevOps will be in 5 years?
I suspect that the distribution of DevOps adoption will look very much like the Agile graph above.
The majority of organisations will be trying to adopt DevOps, but very few will…